Little-used measure of good cholesterol can predict heart attack and stroke risk

Reviewed by James Ives, M.Psych. (Editor)Jun 22 2020

For decades, high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol has been dubbed "good cholesterol" because of its role in moving fats and other cholesterol molecules out of artery walls.

People with higher HDL cholesterol levels tend to have lower rates of cardiovascular disease, studies have shown.

Now, UT Southwestern scientists have analyzed data on more than 15,000 people to better understand the association between HDL cholesterol, heart attacks, and strokes in diverse populations.

Study: Associations Between HDL Particles and Ischemic Events by Vascular Domain, Gender, and Ethnicity: A Pooled Cohort Analysis

They found that the number of HDL particles, a little-used measurement of HDL, is a more reliable predictor of heart attack and stroke risk than the standard HDL cholesterol metric.

Moreover, they found that among black people, neither HDL measurement was significantly associated with heart attack.

Previous studies have looked at HDL levels in the population as a whole. But we know that sometimes biology differs by gender and race, so we thought it was important to separately tease apart what's happening in those populations, as well as how HDL is associated with stroke, which has been understudied."

Anand Rohatgi, MD., Associate Professor, Department of Internal Medicine,  UT Southwestern Medical Center

According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, heart disease is the leading cause of death in the U.S. More than 12 percent of adults in the U.S. have high total cholesterol levels, and more than 18 percent have what's currently considered low levels of HDL cholesterol.

Cholesterol is a waxy substance that is used by the body to make hormones and keep cells functioning properly. But when low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol levels are too high, cholesterol can accumulate inside blood vessels, forming deposits called plaques.

These plaques can eventually lead to blood vessel blockages that cause heart attacks or strokes. HDL cholesterol helps remove cholesterol from blood vessels.

But recent studies have come to mixed conclusions about the association between HDL cholesterol levels and health outcomes.

For the new paper, published in the journal Circulation, Rohatgi and his colleagues pooled together information on people who had participated in four large, nationwide studies – the Dallas Heart Study, Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study, Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, and the Prevention of Renal and Vascular Endstage Disease study.

In all, the studies included 15,784 people followed over an average of 8 to 12 years. Of the participants, 54 percent were male, 22 percent were black, and their average age was 56 years.

"By combining all these large existing cohorts, we had enough numbers to look at these populations that had been understudied in the past," says Kavisha Singh, M.D., a research fellow in cardiology at UTSW and first author of the new study.

In addition, the data included two different measurements of HDL: HDL-P levels tally how many particles of HDL are circulating in the blood.

HDL-C levels, the standard test, instead quantify how much total HDL cholesterol is inside those particles. Since the number of HDL particles may vary with regards to how much cholesterol they contain, the two measurements can be quite different and are only moderately correlated.

In the study, people with the highest HDL-P levels, above 37 mmol/L, had a 37 percent lower risk of heart attack and a 34 percent lower risk of stroke than those who had the lowest HDL-P levels.

In women, this association was stronger – those with the highest HDL-P levels had a 49 percent reduction in heart attacks and 46 percent reduction in stroke.

While HDL-C predicted heart attack risk in the overall pool of people as well as in women, it was not associated with stroke.

When the researchers homed in on black participants, the results were different – neither HDL-C nor HDL-P was linked to a black person's risk of heart attack.

"If you're white, low HDL cholesterol is still a powerful predictor of heart attack and stroke risk, and that has not changed," says Rohatgi. "But if you're not white, it's not that straightforward."

A better understanding of how HDL can help predict disease, and how that association varies among populations, is vital to lowering rates of cardiovascular disease, the researchers say.

"These risk markers are really relevant in everyday primary care and cardiology," says Singh. "Doctors use cholesterol levels to make decisions like whether a patient goes on medication or not."

The team is planning future studies on the functionality of HDL particles among black people, how HDL-P may be used clinically, and whether HDL-P might be associated with specific subtypes of strokes.