1. Post hoc ergo proctor hoc
    James, London James, London United Kingdom says:
    June 23, 2010 at 1:10 PM

    When (just over half of) elderly people fell over, they were barefoot, wearing just socks, or wearing slippers - therefore they fell over *because* they were barefoot, wearing socks or slippers?  Do you not need to show a greater degree of causality than that?

    And as it's a 52/48 split between 'barefoot/socks/slippers' compared with 'all other footwear' - it's not the most convincing evidence, is it?

    I bet many of them were wearing false teeth at the time of their fall - but their fall wasn't necessarily caused by them wearing false teeth.

    Wearing footwear with grips on the bottom is common sense and good advice - it doesn't need a spurious study with such wide generalisations established to draw these inferences, surely...?

    Maybe I should read the actual study - but surely if there were any more convincing evidence, they would have included that in the press release...

    Reply
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